據(jù)阿納多盧新聞4月14日新聞消息稱,歐佩克周二在其月度石油市場(chǎng)報(bào)告中表示,2021年全球石油需求預(yù)計(jì)將增長(zhǎng)約6%,達(dá)到平均9650萬(wàn)桶/天。
它補(bǔ)充稱,預(yù)計(jì)汽油將成為夏季駕駛季節(jié)開(kāi)始后石油需求復(fù)蘇的關(guān)鍵驅(qū)動(dòng)因素。
“2021年期間風(fēng)險(xiǎn)仍將很高,取決于疫情的發(fā)展以及達(dá)到群體免疫目標(biāo)的速度,” 報(bào)告警告稱,將進(jìn)一步影響石油需求的短期因素包括勞動(dòng)力市場(chǎng)的發(fā)展、疫情對(duì)需求的結(jié)構(gòu)性影響、新能源政策以及大規(guī)模貨幣和財(cái)政刺激措施的有效性。
2021年歐佩克原油需求較上月上調(diào)20萬(wàn)桶/天,至2740萬(wàn)桶/天,比2020年高出490萬(wàn)桶/天。
3月全球石油日產(chǎn)量較上月增加122萬(wàn)桶,平均日產(chǎn)量為9323萬(wàn)桶,較上年同期減少722萬(wàn)桶。
報(bào)告顯示,2月份歐佩克原油產(chǎn)量環(huán)比增加20萬(wàn)桶/天,平均達(dá)到2504萬(wàn)桶/天,而歐佩克原油占全球總產(chǎn)量的份額下降到26.9%,較上月下降0.1%。
3月非歐佩克液體產(chǎn)量比上月增加102萬(wàn)桶/日,至平均6819萬(wàn)桶/日。
朱佳妮 摘譯自 阿納多盧新聞
原文如下:
Global oil demand to increase 6% in 2021: OPEC
Global oil demand is expected to increase by around 6% to an average of 96.5 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2021, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said in its Monthly Oil Market Report on Tuesday.
Gasoline is projected to be the key driver for the oil demand recovery beginning with the onset of the summer driving season, it added.
“Risks will remain high during 2021, subject to COVID-19 developments, and the pace of reaching herd immunity targets,” the report warned, noting that short term factors that will further impact oil demand involve developments in labor markets, the structural impact of the pandemic on demand, new energy policies and the effectiveness of large-scale monetary and fiscal stimulus measures.
Demand for OPEC crude in 2021 has been revised up by 200,000 bpd from the previous month to stand at 27.4 million bpd, which is 4.9 million bpd higher than in 2020.
Global oil production in March increased by 1.22 million bpd compared to the previous month to average 93.23 million bpd, while reflecting a year-on-year fall of 7.22 million bpd.
The report shows that OPEC crude oil production increased by 200,000 bpd month-over-month to an average of 25.04 million bpd, while the share of OPEC crude out of total global production fell to 26.9% in February, marking a 0.1% decrease compared with the previous month.
Non-OPEC liquids production in March increased by 1.02 million bpd compared with the previous month to an average of 68.19 million bpd.
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