????據今日油價網站3月19日消息 盡管有猜測稱,石油需求在2019年達到峰值,當時全球新冠疫情還未對石油行業造成嚴重打擊,但國際能源署(IEA)的一份新報告顯示,由于2026年之前石油需求將繼續增加,這一假設可能被夸大了。
????可再生能源的創新和對Covid-19流感的需求減少,使專家們相信石油時代正在慢慢失去動力。然而,隨著亞洲市場的增長和許多國家恢復到疫情前的需求水平,情況可能并非如此。
????根據國際能源署的最新報告,未來兩年內對石油的需求可能達到疫情前的水平。到2023年,如果全球需求在亞洲的推動下繼續保持目前的增長速度,石油產量可能超過1億桶/日。
????盡管大多數發達國家的石油需求可能不會恢復到疫情前的水平,但由于旅行和工作的變化,在過去一年中,需求下降了,而且看來還會繼續,電動汽車和其他可再生能源的使用也會增加,發展中國家以及中國等主要消費者的需求可能是這一需求的主要驅動力。
????王磊 摘譯自 今日油價
????原文如下:
????IEA: Asia To Account For 90% Of Global Oil Demand Growth Through 2025
????Despite speculation that oil demand peaked in 2019, before the global pandemic hit the industry hard, a new IEA report suggests this assumption may have been overstated as demand is set to continue increasing until 2026.
????Innovations in renewable energy and the decreased demand in response to the Covid-19 pandemic made experts believe the oil era was slowly losing momentum. However, as the Asian market grows and many countries return to pre-pandemic demand levels, this may not be true.
????According to the new IEA report, demand for oil could hit pre-pandemic levels within the next two years. By 2023, oil production could exceed 100m bpd if world demand, driven significantly by Asia, continues at its current growth rate.
????While oil demand may not return to pre-pandemic levels in most developed countries, due to travel and work changes that have driven demand down over the last year and look set to stay as well as greater uptake of electric vehicles and other renewable options, demand across the developing world as well as major consumers like China could be the main drivers of this demand.
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