???? 據(jù)俄羅斯油氣網(wǎng)2月18日華盛頓報(bào)道，挪威著名能源研究和商業(yè)情報(bào)公司雷斯塔能源公司（Rystad）估計(jì)，由于拜登的新能源政策，美國(guó)阿拉斯加州剩余可采石油資源的72%可能會(huì)留在地下，但對(duì)產(chǎn)量的影響要到2030年之后才能感受到。

????阿拉斯加州石油開(kāi)采的日子已經(jīng)被能源行業(yè)認(rèn)為時(shí)日無(wú)多，但拜登新政府推動(dòng)的能源轉(zhuǎn)型可能會(huì)加速這一進(jìn)程。

????Rystad估計(jì)，阿拉斯加州剩余的可采石油儲(chǔ)量為233億桶石油和凝析油。

????如果暫時(shí)禁止北極國(guó)家野生動(dòng)物保護(hù)區(qū)(ANWR)的石油活動(dòng)，以及禁止在全國(guó)范圍內(nèi)的聯(lián)邦土地和水域進(jìn)行新的租賃銷售，那么大約168億桶的石油資源可能永遠(yuǎn)不會(huì)出現(xiàn)在陽(yáng)光下。

????根據(jù)Rystad的估計(jì)，永久禁止新租約將從ANWR目前未授出或未開(kāi)放探區(qū)中移除13.5億桶可被開(kāi)發(fā)的石油資源。

????終止阿拉斯加州新的海上租約可能會(huì)導(dǎo)致該州損失多達(dá)100億桶石油資源。

????由于阿拉斯加州國(guó)家石油儲(chǔ)備區(qū)至今尚未授出陸上探區(qū)，該州還可能失去大約45億桶石油資源。

????Rystad指出，石油和天然氣行業(yè)2019年為阿拉斯加州提供了80%的收入，以這種規(guī)模減少石油產(chǎn)量顯然會(huì)對(duì)該州未來(lái)財(cái)政產(chǎn)生巨大影響。

????李峻 編譯自 俄羅斯油氣網(wǎng)

????原文如下：

????Rystad Energy: Most of Alaska’s remaining oil at risk

????Rystad estimates that about 72 % of the state’s remaining recoverable oil resources could stay in the ground, although the effect on production will be felt only after 2030.

????Alaska’s oil days were already considered numbered by the energy industry, but the new administration’s push for energy transition could hasten the process.

????Rystad estimates Alaska’s remaining recoverable oil reserves to be 23.3 billion barrels of oil and condensates.

????about 16.8 billion barrels of this may never see the light of day if the temporary bans on oil activity in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) and on new lease sales on state-wide federal lands and waters are here to stay.

????It’s safe to say that the previous administration’s rushed ANWR lease sale did not garner much interest, but a halt to oil & gas activities would mean that any potential discoveries are taken off the map.

????based on Rystad’s estimates, a permanent ban on new leases would remove 1.35 billion barrels of oil resources that could be developed from the currently unawarded or open acreage in ANWR.

????An end to new offshore leases in Alaska could result in the state losing out on up to 10 billion barrels of oil.

????The state could also miss out on roughly 4.5 billion barrels of oil resources through unawarded onshore acreage in the National Petroleum Reserve of Alaska.

????Rystad pointed out that the oil & gas industry provided about 80% of Alaska’s state revenues in 2019 and removing oil volumes on this scale would clearly have an immense impact on the state’s finances.