據(jù)烴加工2021年5月11日?qǐng)?bào)道，美國(guó)能源信息署(EIA)5月11日表示，今年美國(guó)原油日產(chǎn)量預(yù)計(jì)將減少29萬(wàn)桶至1102萬(wàn)桶，降幅高于此前預(yù)測(cè)的27萬(wàn)桶。

　　由于油價(jià)反彈，美國(guó)石油生產(chǎn)商的鉆探活動(dòng)逐漸增加，但由于投資者向企業(yè)施壓，要求它們控制支出，專注于回報(bào)，所有美國(guó)的石油產(chǎn)量增長(zhǎng)一直疲軟。

　　2022年，美國(guó)石油產(chǎn)量預(yù)計(jì)將增加82萬(wàn)桶/天，至1184萬(wàn)桶/天，與EIA 4月的預(yù)測(cè)持平。

　　EIA在月度預(yù)測(cè)中表示：“由于我們預(yù)計(jì)西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原原油的平均價(jià)格仍高于每桶55美元，我們預(yù)計(jì)生產(chǎn)商將在未來(lái)幾個(gè)月開鉆并完鉆足夠多的井，以抵消現(xiàn)有井產(chǎn)量的下降。”

　　EIA稱，今年美國(guó)石油和其他液體燃料日消費(fèi)量預(yù)計(jì)將增加139萬(wàn)桶，至1951萬(wàn)桶，此前預(yù)估為日增132萬(wàn)桶。

　　EIA預(yù)計(jì)，今年4月至9月，美國(guó)的汽油日消費(fèi)量將平均接近900萬(wàn)桶，比去年夏天多120萬(wàn)桶，但比2019年夏天少近60萬(wàn)桶。

　　2022年，美國(guó)石油日消費(fèi)量預(yù)計(jì)將增加102萬(wàn)桶至2053萬(wàn)桶，高于此前預(yù)計(jì)的日增98萬(wàn)桶。

　　李峻 編譯自 烴加工

　　原文如下：

　　U.S. crude output to decline more than previously forecast in 2021

　　U.S. crude oil production is expected to fall by 290,000 barrels per day (bpd) in 2021 to 11.02 million bpd, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said, a steeper decline than its previous forecast for a drop of 270,000 bpd.

　　U.S. oil producers have been gradually increasing drilling activity as oil prices have rebounded but output growth has been muted as investors pressure companies to rein in spending and focus on returns.

　　In 2022, output is expected to rise by 820,000 bpd to 11.84 million bpd, unchanged from the EIA's estimate last month.

　　"Because the average price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil remains above $55 per barrel in our forecast, we expect producers will drill and complete enough wells in the coming months to offset declines at existing wells," the agency said in a monthly forecast.

　　The EIA said it expects U.S. petroleum and other liquid fuel consumption to rise 1.39 million bpd to 19.51 million bpd in 2021, compared with a previous forecast for a rise of 1.32 million bpd.

　　The agency expects that gasoline consumption in the United States will average almost 9 million bpd this summer, between April and September, which is 1.2 million bpd more than last summer but almost 600,000 bpd less than summer of 2019.

　　For 2022, U.S. consumption is forecast to rise 1.02 million bpd to 20.53 million bpd, higher than its previous estimate for an increase of 980,000 bpd.

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