據(jù)路透社5月5日?qǐng)?bào)道，隨著美國(guó)和歐洲部分地區(qū)放松封鎖，這預(yù)示著夏季燃料需求有望增加，抵消了對(duì)印度和日本感染病例增加的擔(dān)憂(yōu)，石油價(jià)格周三連續(xù)第三天上漲。
格林尼治標(biāo)準(zhǔn)時(shí)間10：08，布倫特原油價(jià)格上漲93美分，至每桶69.81美元，漲幅1.4%。美國(guó)西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油(WTI)上漲85美分，至每桶66.54美元，漲幅1.3%。兩種期貨合約的日內(nèi)交易均觸及3月中旬以來(lái)的最高水平。
石油經(jīng)紀(jì)商PVM的斯蒂芬?布倫諾克(Stephen Brennock)表示:“油價(jià)回到每桶70美元的預(yù)期正在慢慢地成為現(xiàn)實(shí)。”
在油價(jià)飆升之際，人們預(yù)計(jì)，隨著西方經(jīng)濟(jì)體重現(xiàn)復(fù)蘇，需求將保持強(qiáng)勁。的確，市場(chǎng)對(duì)今年夏季美國(guó)和歐洲燃料和能源使用量回升的預(yù)期很高。
同時(shí)，原油價(jià)格也受到美國(guó)庫(kù)存大幅下降的支撐。
據(jù)兩名市場(chǎng)消息人士稱(chēng)，美國(guó)石油協(xié)會(huì)(API)報(bào)告稱(chēng)，截至4月30日當(dāng)周，原油庫(kù)存減少770萬(wàn)桶，這是路透社調(diào)查分析師預(yù)期的三倍多。此外，汽油庫(kù)存減少了530萬(wàn)桶。
交易商正在等待美國(guó)能源信息署（EIA）的數(shù)據(jù)，看看官方數(shù)據(jù)是否會(huì)顯示出如此大的降幅。聯(lián)邦銀行分析師Vivek Dhar在一份報(bào)告中稱(chēng)："如果EIA證實(shí)了這個(gè)數(shù)據(jù)，這將是1月底以來(lái)的最大單周降幅。"
另外，美國(guó)和歐洲新冠肺炎疫苗的推出，推動(dòng)油價(jià)上漲至近兩個(gè)月高位。
歐元區(qū)商業(yè)活動(dòng)上月加速，因歐元區(qū)占主導(dǎo)地位的服務(wù)業(yè)擺脫了新一輪封鎖限制，恢復(fù)增長(zhǎng)。德國(guó)商業(yè)銀行分析師Eugen Weinberg稱(chēng)："出行限制的部分解除，預(yù)期旅游業(yè)將在不久的將來(lái)恢復(fù)正常水平，加上每桶70美元這一重要心理關(guān)口的吸引力，都可能是價(jià)格上漲的原因。"
這抵消了印度燃料需求下降的影響。要知道，印度是世界第三大石油消費(fèi)國(guó)，目前正與新冠病例激增作斗爭(zhēng)。不過(guò)，荷蘭國(guó)際集團(tuán)(ING Economics)的分析師在談到印度的情況時(shí)表示：“如果我們最終看到了印度全國(guó)實(shí)施封鎖，那么這可能會(huì)打擊市場(chǎng)人氣。”
王佳晶 摘譯自 路透社
原文如下：
Oil nears $70 as easing Western lockdowns boost summer demand outlook
Oil prices rose for a third day on Wednesday as easing of lockdowns in the United States and parts of Europe heralded a boost in fuel demand in summer season and offset concerns about the rise of COVID-19 infections in India and Japan.
Brent crude rose 93 cents, or 1.4%, to $69.81 a barrel at 1008 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 85 cents, or 1.3%, to $66.54 a barrel.
Both contracts hit the highest level since mid-March in intra-day trade.
"A return to $70 oil is edging closer to becoming reality," said Stephen Brennock of oil broker PVM.
"The jump in oil prices came amid expectations of strong demand as western economies reopen. Indeed, anticipation of a pick-up in fuel and energy usage in the United States and Europe over the summer months is running high," he said.
Crude prices were also supported by a large fall in U.S. inventories.
The American Petroleum Institute (API) industry group reported crude stockpiles fell by 7.7 million barrels in the week ended April 30, according to two market sources. That was more than triple the drawdown expected by analysts polled by Reuters. Gasoline stockpiles fell by 5.3 million barrels.
Traders are awaiting data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration due at 10:30 a.m. EDT (1430 GMT) on Wednesday to see if official data shows such a large fall.
"If confirmed by the EIA, that would mark the largest weekly fall in the official data since late January," Commonwealth Bank analyst Vivek Dhar said in a note.
The rise in oil prices to nearly two-month highs has been supported by COVID-19 vaccine rollouts in the United States and Europe.
Euro zone business activity accelerated last month as the bloc's dominant services industry shrugged off renewed lockdowns and returned to growth.
"The partial lifting of mobility restrictions, the expectation that tourism will return in the near future, and the lure of the psychologically important $70 mark are all likely to have contributed to the price rise," Commerzbank analyst Eugen Weinberg said.
This has offset a drop in fuel demand in India, the world's third-largest oil consumer, which is battling a surge in COVID-19 infections.
"However, if we were to eventually see a national lockdown imposed, this would likely hit sentiment," ING Economics analysts said of the situation in India.
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